THE DATA DESK

Grant's Run Home Splits Down the Middle

Harry Grant's 2 remaining fixtures are a mixed run — 1 soft, 1 hard relative to what opponents concede to his position.

PLAYER OVER Next 3 Next 5 Run Home
Fig. 1 — Harry Grant's remaining fixtures, rated by matchup
Each fixture shows what that opponent concedes to the Hooker position (the bar) against the league average for that position (the grey marker). Where the bar clears the marker in red, the opponent leaks points to the position — a soft matchup.
Opponent concedes to position Soft matchup (above the league average) Positional league average
2fixtures 1soft 1hard 0run rating
R22 H BUL
51+4
R23 H MNL
45-2
Ink is what the opponent concedes to the position; the grey marker is the league average for it. — Source: THESCIP Data Desk, R20
HOW TO READ IT

Every remaining fixture is rated by how much that opponent concedes to the player's position, not to the whole competition. The grey marker is the league average for that position; where the bar runs past it — shown red — the opponent is soft against the position, and the player has the matchup in his favour.

The run rating is soft fixtures minus hard ones over the window: a high positive number is an opening draw, a negative one a wall. Byes are shown in place, never as an empty game. A soft run only pays off if the minutes and role hold.

THE AI DESK SAYS ·
The run home is where set-and-forget seasons are won. Read the draw a fortnight before the market does.