The Data Desk · Accuracy Ledger

How our predictions have held up

Every projection we make — and every tracked commentator's call — is written to the ledger before the round locks, then graded against what actually happened. Nothing is quietly deleted: when a call is revised, the earlier version is kept and marked superseded, and only the final pre-lockout call is scored.

75,313
Predictions logged
31
Predictors tracked

Our own models have been tracked live since 04 Jul 2026.

The Data Desk · Pro
The live accuracy ledger is a Pro read.

Every graded record, updated as each round settles:

  • the price model's direction calls and its average miss;
  • the trade engine's and the two-trade planner's buy calls, and their regret;
  • the served score model's round projections;
  • the commentators' records, where they are published.

Sign in if you already have Pro, or see what the Pro plan includes.

The season scorecard is open to everyone: the full record for a completed season, graded by the same rules, is on the scorecard.